"Here are the most important details regarding my selection of the 50 opening lines for the TCEC 14 superfinal:
- All important openings will be played
- The chosen lines typically have a length between 2 moves and 13 moves. There is one 15 move (29 ply) line, which is the longest
- Average move length is 6.68 (down from 7.4 in TCEC 13 and 8.18 in TCEC 12)
- There are sharp lines in the set, as well as positional lines, more complex lines, lines with opposite castling ("SALC", i.e. short and long castling) and gambits
- Some lines are borrowed from previous superfinals
- The complexity of a position is one of my main selection criteria, i.e. most pieces are still on the board and there should be a lot of play left, with a reasonable chance for a decisive result
- In each line one side typically has a slight advantage, with book exits mainly between +0.25 and +0.65 (note: this is with contempt = 0)
- I have avoided positions that could lead to many exchanges and/or have a high draw rate, as well as positions with symmetrical pawn structures and positions that could lead to easy wins for the side with an advantage
ECO code distribution
- ECO A: 14
- ECO B: 15
- ECO C: 10
- ECO D: 5
- ECO E: 6
Break-down in move length
- 2-4 moves (4-8 plies): 18 lines
- 5-7 moves (10-14 plies): 14 lines
- 8-10 moves (16-20 plies): 11 lines
- >10 moves (>20 plies): 7 lines
Some extra information
Regarding my selection method, the following information might be useful:
- All lines have undergone a quick check with the 3 top programs (Stockfish, Komodo and Houdini), which means around 5 minutes on a Ryzen 1700X system (16 threads) for each engine on each position;
- In the quick check the final position of each line is evaluated on a few criteria: score (preferably not 0.00 or above +0.65), no mass exchanges, no easy drawing lines;
- Please note that the evals in the quick check have been determined by using contempt=0. If an engine uses a contempt other than zero in the superfinal, the book exits will of course be different;
- Book exits may also be different because TCEC uses much faster hardware compared to the hardware used to do the quick check and because engines are updated and might use different settings;
- The reason there are less lines selected with ECO codes D and E, is because many lines in these sections are "too easy" for the current top programs and I consider them too drawish.
My expectations
The TCEC 9 superfinal saw 25% wins, the TCEC 10 superfinal 24% wins, the TCEC 11 superfinal 22% wins, the TCEC 12 superfinal 38% wins and finally the TCEC 13 superfinal 22% wins. It will be very hard to beat the 38% of season 12, but I'd like to see a minimum of at least 20% wins. Of course I hope to beat the 25% wins of the TCEC 9 superfinal.
Anything can happen
I have seen quiet openings turn into wins and wild openings turn into draws in my first five superfinal selections. Hence it is my firm view that anything can happen in any line. It is up to the engines to decide how to follow up an opening line and to turn it into an interesting battle (or not). I see myself merely as a facilitator whom picks lines that can lead to interesting and exciting games, but it is surely no guarantee that this will happen :-).
Last but not least: have fun!
For me, TCEC is currently the most interesting chess engine tournament around. Once again it was a challenging but interesting job to pick the positions for this superfinal edition. I hope you enjoy the games and we will see lots of exciting chess!"
